SNP: Another chance to make the case for independence?
About the Author: Robbie Summers is an Account Executive at Portland and was a contributor to the BBC’s general election coverage in 2015.
18 APRIL 2017
The political landscape in Scotland is unlikely to shift significantly in June, with the SNP confident of another strong showing.
The party continues to poll well ahead of any other at around 45%. With the first-past-the-post electoral system, the SNP will be confident of retaining most, although not all, of its seats at Westminster. With Nicola Sturgeon currently polling as the most popular politician in Scotland she is again likely to feature at the centre of the SNP’s campaign, despite not standing for election.
Party officials are also confident that the campaign machine, and its membership base of over 100,000 people, will be able to move seamlessly from the local election campaigns to a general election campaign.
While the SNP will likely lose a small handful of seats in June, the party could welcome the opportunity to rid itself of scandal-stricken MPs Natalie McGarry and Michelle Thomson, both of whom were suspended from the Party whip shortly after their election in 2015, and will be ineligible for selection in 2017.
The Conservatives will be hoping to build on their successes at the Scottish Parliament elections, and are likely to pick up a small handful of seats, particularly in the Borders and the north east. The big question for the Conservatives in Scotland will be whether Ruth Davidson decides to stand. However with an independence referendum potentially on the horizon, she may feel Holyrood is the best place for her to make a case for the union.